Misleading Indexes and Tesla Drama

It used to be that most of us gauged stock market performance relative to an index of 500 stocks called the Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500). It may be that the S&P 500 is no longer a good reflection of financial reality. We noted last month that the performance of the S&P 500 is…

$1 Trillion Dollars!

In the two days following Apple Inc.’s earnings announcement, shares of its stock increased 9%, making it the first company in history to be worth more than ONE TRILLION DOLLARS. Sometimes it seems that the average American bandies the words “billion” and “trillion” about just a little too casually, not truly understanding the magnitude of…

World Trade and the World Cup

In our December Investment Commentary, Cryptocurrencies and Cheeseburgers, we noted that Bitcoin was a tad bit speculative—as a reliable currency or as an investment. Our sentiment hasn’t changed and its price activity this week (down 8%) prompted us to re-visit Bitcoin.

ABSOLUTELY. POSITIVELY. NOT.

One of the things we’ve learned in our business is that when virtually the entire investment world is absolutely, positively sure something is going to occur, not only does it NOT occur but the opposite usually does. Occasionally these are called “bubbles,” like the tech-stock bubble when everyone was convinced tech stocks would only go…

The Risk of Looking Wrong

Our business is an interesting one. Every day we have to decide how to get the best potential return with the least amount of risk. It’s a business that requires us to peer into the future and attempt to determine the risks, based upon market levels, historical performance outcomes, and geo-political possibilities.